
IS IT TRUE May 22, 2013
IS IT TRUE when Bob Warren was hired to run the Evansville Convention and Visitors Bureau after the scandalous way that his predecessor Marilee Fowler was treated by the Weinzapfel Administration and the Opus One party animals that made up the ECVB Board of Directors, the City County Observer came away impressed that Mr. Warren was a serious man with a head for numbers?…Mr. Warren proved his mathematical acumen once again when he held a meeting at the Mesker Zoo and announced that the $20 Million Roberts Stadium ball fields did not pencil out?…given our respect for Mr. Warren’s command of mathematics the CCO was shocked and amazed yesterday to read in the Courier and Press that Mr. Warren believes that adding a 253 room hotel to an already existing 3,727 rooms will increase the number of room nights sold by 40%?…this statement is not just improbable, it is physically impossible and could not come from the mind of a person who did an extensive analysis on the ball fields and pronounced them to be a bad investment complete with percentage analysis to the one hundredth of a percent?…there are only two possibilities for that statement and the first is that a mathematically challenged reporter for the Courier & Press misstated what Mr. Warren said?…it is also possible that the astute Mr. Warren has been in Evansville long enough to have lost his wits due to the consumption of Mayoral Kool-Aid that seems to cause people to exaggerate wildly about the benefits of fun and games projects?
IS IT TRUE the math behind the statement can easily be debunked as ridiculous as follows:
3,727 rooms x 365 days = 1,360,355 room nights available in Evansville now
1,360,355 x 58.7% occupancy = 798,528 room nights per year sold per year now
253 rooms x 365 = 92,345 room nights added by new hotel
92,345 / 798,528 = 11.6% increase in room nights at 100% occupancy
IS IT TRUE from here it gets really easy to see that to achieve the prediction attributed to Mr. Warren by the Courier Press the operator of a new downtown Convention Hotel would have to sell each and every room 3.46 times every day of the year?…a hotel cannot physically have 346% occupancy even in a sold out all of the time situation?…even the most aggressive of the proposals received by the City of Evansville assumed a 65% occupancy rate for the new hotel?…a difficult to achieve occupancy rate of 65% only would increase the number of room nights sold by 60,025 per year which corresponds to a 7.5% increase in room nights sold?…if Mr. Warren had claimed that the Centre would have 40% more people attending conventions that they currently have we could have gotten on board?…making absurd statements that are physically impossible like the statements Mr. Warren debunked about the ball field impact projections a few years ago destroy the credibility of the messenger?…when it comes to 40% more room nights we have got to conclude that the Courier & Press who supports most anything the Winnecke Administration tells them to in their zeal for a magnanimous quote put some dumb words into Mr. Warren’s mouth?…we invite Mr. Warren to release his documentation on the real impact of both the downtown Convention Hotel and the ball fields?…we will publish them without edit, opinion, or bias?
IS IT TRUE that the Vanderburgh County Republican Party is soliciting its members for donations to purchase a $25,000 booth to use at the Fall Festival?…that seems like an expensive booth but if their members respond positively we shall go by and buy a corn dog from them?…perhaps another good way to pay for the booth would be to reign in the excessive spending on fun and games by Republican Mayor Lloyd Winnecke?…that guy can polish off $25,000 taxpayer dollars before breakfast on non-essential projects while trying to delay essential projects like the sewer repairs as far into the future as he can?