Gallup-Rasmussen Poll Average: August 21, 2012

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The Rasmussen Tracking poll today shows Mitt Romney with a 45% – 44% lead over President Obama Romney while Gallup’s Tracking poll shows Romney maintaining a lead of 47% – 45%.

The average of these two polls is now showing the Romney/Ryan campaign with 46.0% and the Obama/Biden at 44.5% both garnering slightly less support than last week.

The average approval rate for President Obama is now at negative 2% meaning that 2% more of those polled disapprove than approve of the Presidents job performance. The average approval rating for the President was 47.0% and the average disapproval was 49%.

In an examination of all polls published after August 13th and applying them to the elector count, if the election were held today and the most recent polls are accurate Romney would win the presidency over Obama by an electoral vote of 282 – 256

The PPP poll which is run by democrats reported today that Romney leads President Obama in Wisconsin by 48% – 47% agreeing exactly with the most recent Rasmussen poll in Wisconsin. The PPP poll in July showed President Obama with a 6% lead.

3 COMMENTS

  1. Seems to me you are cherry-picking which Presidential poll to report on. Rasmussen, a notoriously partisan right-wing pollster, so is that why you only show their information?

    CNN’s poll had the race at 52% for Obama (notably above the 50% mark) and 45% for Romney. The poll also has Obama ahead 53% to 42% with Independents. And significant majorities believe that Romney favors the rich (64%) and that he should release more tax returns (63%).

    The Reuters poll placed Obama up 49% to 42%. In addition, Reuters reports that 46% of registered voters say Obama is stronger on jobs and the economy, compared with 44% for Romney. And on tax matters, 49% saw Obama as stronger, compared with 38% for Romney.

    Tha Associated Press has it with Obama at 47% and Romney 46%. The NBC/Wall Street Journal has Obama at 448% and Romney trailing at 44%. Survey USA also has Obama leading by a margin of 46% to Romneys 45%.

    Heck, even FauxNews is giving Obama a 49% to 40% lead. That’s a nine point advantage that is larger than any of the other polls just published. The lead is even greater among Independents who favor Obama by 11%.

    Maybe you should go to this website for some education:

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

    This really proves my point. EVERY other poll has Obama in the lead other than the ones you use. I thought a “news” site would be impartial. Guess I am once again expecting too much from CCO.

    You would better serve the public by showing a variety of polling sites, not just the one that you use for only showing information favorable to your view.

    • We check http://www.realclearpolitics.com everyday. That is where the Michigan poll information came from. When we started this poll report Gallup had the President leading and over the weekend Rasmussen did too. Our choices were based on the past performance of the polls. We had one criteria and that was for the polls being considered to have been within 1% of the actual results of the last two elections. Only Rasmussen and Gallup met that criteria.

      By the way, the most recent New York Times and Washington Times polls both have Romney leading by 1%. Both were taken before the Ryan announcement as were the Fox, CNN, and Reuters polls that you cite. Any poll taken prior to that announcement should be disregarded at this point.

      • Thanks for the update

        I think it would be a true service and mark of being impartial if you simply pointed people to that website.

        In regards to your last paragraph, you are once again cherry-picking which polls you are citing. The front page of http://www.realclearpolitics.com still has the Obama leads Romney by an average of 1.5, and that the electoral college is lead by President Obama, who has 221 electoral votes in comparison to Romney’s 191.

        Furthermore, this website has a compilation of polls. If you pick the time period of 05/01/2012 to 08/20/2012, the poll “favor” factor has Obama leading in 36 out of 52 polls, with three polls listed as a “tie”, so if you remove the “tie” votes that gives a margin of 73.4% in favor of Obama and only 26.6% in favor of Romney. Furthermore, Obama leads by as much as 13 points in one poll, while Romney only has a maximum lead of 4 points in any of the 52 polls.

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