“Right Jab And Middle Jab And Left Jab†March 16, 2020
HOT JOBS IN EVANSVILLLE
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   JUST IN: Health Department Updates COVID-19 Case Count
Health Department Updates COVID-19 Case Count
INDIANAPOLIS —The Indiana State Department of Health (ISDH) today reported four new presumptive positive cases of COVID-19, bringing to 19 the number of Hoosiers diagnosed through ISDH, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and private laboratories.
The new cases involve residents of Hamilton and Marion counties and have been included on ISDH’s online dashboard at https://www.in.gov/coronavirus/. Eleven counties now have cases. The dashboard will be updated daily at 10 a.m. Cases are listed by the county of residence.
Additional updates on the state’s response to the COVID-19 outbreak will be provided later today.
This Coronavirus Is Unlike Anything in Our Lifetime, and We Have to Stop Comparing It to the Flu
This Coronavirus Is Unlike Anything in Our Lifetime, and We Have to Stop Comparing It to the Flu
Longtime health reporter Charles Ornstein says that comparing the novel coronavirus to the flu is dangerously inaccurate. Not one public health expert he trusts has called that comparison valid. Here’s why.
As a longtime health care reporter, the unfolding coronavirus pandemic represents everything I’ve read about — from the early days of epidemiology to the staggering toll of the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic— but had not covered in my lifetime.
And still, I have been caught off guard by the pushback from top elected officials and even some friends and acquaintances who keep comparing it to the flu.
“So last year 37,000 Americans died from the common Flu,†President Donald Trump wrote on Twitter on March 9. “It averages between 27,000 and 70,000 per year. Nothing is shut down, life & the economy go on. At this moment there are 546 confirmed cases of CoronaVirus, with 22 deaths. Think about that!â€
By Friday, Trump had declared coronavirus a national emergency, freeing up resources and removing hurdles for a faster response.
In the meantime, not one public health expert I trust — no one — has said this flu comparison is valid or that we’re overdoing it. Every single one, from former FDA Commissioner Scott Gottlieb to Harvard professor Ashish Jha, has said we’re not doing enough, that this is far more serious than it is being taken.
Here’s why that is:
This Is Far Deadlier Than The Flu
As Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, and others have said, COVID-19 is deadlier than the flu. It’s deadlier for young adults. It’s deadlier for older adults. In China, early data shows that it was 10 times deadlier. This chart from Business Insidercompares U.S. flu deaths to deaths in China from COVID-19.

The flu kills less than 1% of infected people who are over age 65. By comparison, in China, COVID-19 killed 8% of those infected who were 70-79 and almost 15% of those infected who were age 80 or older. That’s a staggering difference.
Even for younger people, the difference was striking. Flu killed .02% of infected patients age 18-49. It’s 10 times that for COVID-19.
In other countries, such as South Korea, the death rate has been far lower.
But if 1 in 12 people age 70-79 who get the virus and 1 in 7 people age 80 or older who get the virus die, and the virus spreads to 20%, 40% or 70% of the population, we’re talking massive death tolls, the likes of which we have never seen before in our lives.
“I mean, people always say, well, the flu does this, the flu does that,†Fauci said Wednesday during congressional testimony. “The flu has a mortality of 0.1%. This has a mortality rate of 10 times that. That’s the reason I want to emphasize we have to stay ahead of the game in preventing this.â€
Our Health Care System Doesn’t Have The Capacity To Deal With This
Epidemiological experts keep talking about the need to “flatten the curve.†What they mean by that is that we need to slow the speed at which new cases are reported. We may not be able to stop the spread of the coronavirus, but we have to try to manage it. If 1,000 new cases happen over a month instead of a week, the health care system is more able to handle them.
Here’s why this is a worry: Overall, our hospitals have fewer beds than other developed countries, according to recent data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. The United States had 2.8 beds per 1,000 residents. By comparison, Germany had 8 beds and China 4.3 per 1,000.
The United States looks better when it comes to intensive care beds, but there’s tremendous variation between regions and states. If we experience what parts of China and Italy saw, we won’t have anywhere for sick patients to go. We will quickly run out of capacity.
Even If We Have The Capacity, We May Not Have Enough Supplies
In a crisis moment, supplies like ventilators and N95 face masks will be key. But as National Geographic and other media have reported, the United States has only a fraction of the medical supplies it needs.
Others have reported shortfalls as well, and ProPublica has been hearing from health care professionals across the country who say their own institutions are running short of supplies. (Share your story here.)
U.S. Surgeon General Jerome Adams tweeted at the end of February, “Seriously people- STOP BUYING MASKS! They are NOT effective in preventing general public from catching #Coronavirus, but if healthcare providers can’t get them to care for sick patients, it puts them and our communities at risk!â€
Another Challenge: Hospital Staff Have Been Exposed Too
And if that weren’t enough, there’s another problem. Health care workers who have been exposed to the virus are now quarantining themselves, further reducing available staff at hospitals. Kaiser Health News reported on the effects of this:
“In Vacaville, California, alone, one case — the first documented instance of community transmission in the U.S. — left more than 200 hospital workers under quarantine and unable to work for weeks.
“Across California, dozens more health care workers have been ordered home because of possible contagion in response to more than 80 confirmed cases as of Sunday afternoon. In Kirkland, Washington, more than a quarter of the city’s fire department was quarantined after exposure to a handful of infected patients at the Life Care Center nursing home.â€
This week, Banner Health in Colorado informed employees that a co-worker is among those with the coronavirus, The Colorado Sun reported. “People who came into prolonged, close contact with the woman in a Banner Health emergency room are being notified and asked to home-quarantine for 14 days, according to a source close to the investigation who spoke to The Sun on the condition of anonymity.â€
And my ProPublica colleagues reported Friday how some EMS workers are also being quarantined because of exposure. (It didn’t help, of course, that the EMS system was slow to get up to speed on the threat.)
More than that, many health care workers have children and as schools begin to close, they have to figure out how to care for their own families.
People In Rural Areas Will Have Little Care Nearby Should They Be Affected By COVID-19
Rural areas in the U.S. are losing their hospitals entirely, and residents are having to travel hours for care. According to the Cecil G. Sheps Center for Health Services Research at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 126 rural hospitals have closed since 2010, including six so far this year. That’s about 6%.
An analysis by the Chartis Center for Rural Health and iVantage Health Analytics this year found that about a quarter of the nation’s 1,844 open rural hospitals are vulnerable.
As The Washington Post described it last year, “Hospitals like Fairfax Community [in Oklahoma] treat patients that are on average six years older and 40 percent poorer than those in urban hospitals, which means rural hospitals have suffered disproportionately from government cuts to Medicaid and Medicare reimbursement rates. They also treat a higher percentage of uninsured patients, resulting in unpaid bills and rising debts.
“A record 46 percent of rural hospitals lost money last year. More than 400 are classified by health officials as being at ‘high risk of imminent failure.’ Hundreds more have cut services or turned over control to outside ownership groups in an attempt to stave off closure.â€
Coronavirus Ramps Up, Money Is Running Out
Coronavirus Ramps Up, Money Is Running Out
(With razor-thin margins and Congress failing to reauthorize their funding, many nonprofit community health centers face running out of money in May)
The full outfit is necessary every time he meets patients — largely low-income Asian Americans and immigrants who have Medicaid or no insurance at all — even as the clinic’s orders for medical supplies come in short and disinfectant levels run low.
Administrators reminded all the nurses and doctors to be careful, especially after the clinic admitted their first confirmed coronavirus case: a patient who arrived from a nearby nursing home, the Life Care Center of Kirkland, where several residents and workers have fallen ill.
Still, the potential risks are hard to forget: The news is preoccupied with the coronavirus outbreak and the state of Washington has reported 572 cases of the disease and 37 deaths as of Saturday.
Commentary: The Leadership Vacuum Gets Filled
By John Krull
TheStatehouseFile.com
INDIANAPOLIS – Government matters.
That’s one lesson the exploding coronavirus crisis has delivered.
In the countries – China, Italy and, now, the United States – where the national government has tried to deny that a potential pandemic presents problems, leaders have made the situation worse.
In parts of China, all commerce and social interaction have been frozen for weeks. The cost in lost lives, frayed health, and forsaken productivity are beyond calculation.
In Italy, the entire nation is on lockdown. The country’s hospitals are overwhelmed, and its old people exist in a constant state of risk.
Here in the United States, the president consistently has tried to minimize the crisis by calling it a “hoax†– his favorite term for any bad news he just doesn’t want to hear – while healthcare and national security professionals in his administration have just as consistently sounded alarms.
While the president engages in absurd conspiracy theories, businesses have canceled conferences. States and communities have banned large public gatherings. Schools across the nation have been closed. Entire towns have been put under quarantine.
This, in its way, is heartening.
While the federal government, led by a president who prefers fantasy to reality, flails, state and local governments have stepped up to meet the challenge.
This has been true in states, such as New York and Washington, where Democrats occupy the governor’s offices. They have acted with vigor to perform the government’s first function – protecting the safety of the people the government is supposed to serve.
But it also has been true in states, such as Indiana, which are led by Republicans.
Here, Gov. Eric Holcomb has done the things President Donald Trump should have done at the national level. Holcomb recognized the threat, provided information about it in a transparent fashion and took immediate steps to provide for public safety
When the first coronavirus case was discovered in Indiana, the Holcomb administration called a press conference on the issue before the news was even an hour old. Since then, the governor’s response has been rock-steady, concerned but not panicked, confident but not oblivious.
This is as it should be.
Leadership, like nature, abhors a vacuum.
When the president of the United States refuses or is unable to lead, it is natural that others will step forward to fill the void.
In a country in which millions of Americans along all points of the ideological spectrum have found a reason to doubt the effectiveness of the government that draws its authority from their consent, this should provide some reassurance.
When one part of our system of representative government fails – as the executive and legislative branches of the federal government have and continue to do in this case – other parts of the government often find ways to bridge the gaps. The system’s safeguards may be imperfect, but they do exist.
That’s another important lesson from this crisis.
Still, another is this: Frequently, the most fundamental question to be answered about a leader isn’t about ideology.
It’s about competence.
We Americans tend to tie ourselves in knots over how of solving problems. We fret and fume over whether a proposed solution is progressive or conservative, Republican or Democrat in conception.
The truth is there are liberal solutions to problems. There also are conservative solutions. Republicans have some good ideas. So do Democrats.
All these solutions and ideas have benefits. They also have costs.
Certain solutions and ideas benefit some Americans more than others. That’s true across the board.
No party or leader has a monopoly on wisdom or virtue. This also is true across the board.
But the one thing the successful leaders – Republican or Democrat, progressive or conservative – have in common is the ability to recognize challenges when they exist and confront them in a realistic fashion.
That’s how our government is supposed to function. At its most basic level, the government is an instrument to exert the public will to solve public problems.
We’re seeing now at the federal level what happens when a leader doesn’t grasp that – doesn’t see public office as a duty and a trust, but only as an opportunity for personal aggrandizement.
But we’re also seeing at the state level the good that can happen when leaders do understand and meet their duties.
Together, the president who flails and the governors who act are teaching an important lesson.
Government matters.
FOOTNOTE: John Krull is director of Franklin College’s Pulliam School of Journalism and publisher of TheStatehouseFile.com, a news website powered by Franklin College journalism students.
The City-County Observer posted this article without opinion, Â bias or editing.